Union Comercio 2-0 UTC Cajamarca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 4 Mar 2024

📅04/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.8
Over 2.5
41%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.76
No
58%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.1pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.8pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-2.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
53%
-11.1pp
58%
BTTS No
47%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Comercio EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY UTC Cajamarca EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
2.23/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.08
+34% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
21.1 Crosses 20.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Comercio
3W-1D-2L
AWAY UTC Cajamarca
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.25 xG 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
241 Passes 178
72% Pass Accuracy 65%
15 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
29.07.2023 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 1-1 HT 1-1 Union Comercio Union Comercio PER
26.02.2023 Union Comercio Union Comercio 1-0 HT 0-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
01.11.2019 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 2-1 HT 0-1 Union Comercio Union Comercio PER
18.05.2019 Union Comercio Union Comercio 4-0 HT 2-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
12.11.2018 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 2-3 HT 1-1 Union Comercio Union Comercio PER
20.08.2018 Union Comercio Union Comercio 2-3 HT 1-1 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Comercio
2-0
AWAY UTC Cajamarca
1.02 xG 0.24
67% Ball Possession 33%
15 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
420 Passes 171
82% Pass Accuracy 69%
17 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Union Comercio vs UTC Cajamarca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Comercio beat UTC Cajamarca 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Union Comercio as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Union Comercio had 67% of the ball to UTC Cajamarca's 33%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.02 to 0.24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Comercio had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Union Comercio and 1.33 for UTC Cajamarca.

What was the final score of Union Comercio vs UTC Cajamarca?

Union Comercio 2-0 UTC Cajamarca in the Peru - Premier League on 04/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Comercio vs UTC Cajamarca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Comercio win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Union Comercio 43%, draw 30%, UTC Cajamarca 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Comercio), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Union Comercio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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