Academico Viseu 1-1 Santa Clara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 4 Mar 2024

Academico Viseu
1-1 HT 1-0
Santa Clara
📅04/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Academico Viseu vs Santa Clara Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.31
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
5.27
6+ Goals
8%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 61% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+3.1pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.7pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-1.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.5pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Academico Viseu v Santa Clara — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academico Viseu EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Clara EU Bookmakers 46%
-6% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
0.85/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.02
-22% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +13%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
285 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
18.7 Crosses 15.2
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.5

Academico Viseu vs Santa Clara Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academico Viseu
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Santa Clara
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.46 xG 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
466 Passes 182
86% Pass Accuracy 70%
21 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
06.10.2023 Santa Clara Santa Clara 2-0 HT 1-0 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu POR2
06.09.2015 Santa Clara Santa Clara 0-1 HT 0-0 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu POR2
19.04.2015 Santa Clara Santa Clara 2-0 HT 1-0 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu POR2
04.05.2014 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 0-1 HT 0-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR2

Academico Viseu 1-1 Santa Clara — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academico Viseu
1-1
AWAY Santa Clara
1.08 xG 1.45
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 23
5 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 8
240 Passes 370
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
9 Crosses 33
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Academico Viseu vs Santa Clara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academico Viseu and Santa Clara couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Santa Clara at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Academico Viseu had 40% of the ball to Santa Clara's 60%, shots finished 11-23, expected goals 1.08 to 1.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Santa Clara led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Academico Viseu and 1.25 for Santa Clara.

What was the final score of Academico Viseu vs Santa Clara?

Academico Viseu 1-1 Santa Clara in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 04/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academico Viseu vs Santa Clara?

Before kick-off our model rated an Santa Clara win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Academico Viseu 31%, draw 28%, Santa Clara 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Santa Clara), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Santa Clara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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