Vilaverdense vs Paços De Ferreira Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vilaverdense v Paços De Ferreira — Team-Based Signals
Vilaverdense vs Paços De Ferreira Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Vilaverdense
POR2
Vilaverdense 0-1 Paços De Ferreira — Actual Match Statistics
Paços De Ferreira nicked a narrow win over Vilaverdense 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Paços De Ferreira as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Vilaverdense had 41% of the ball to Paços De Ferreira's 59%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 0.34 to 0.87.
What was the final score of Vilaverdense vs Paços De Ferreira?
Vilaverdense 0-1 Paços De Ferreira in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 04/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vilaverdense vs Paços De Ferreira?
Before kick-off our model rated an Paços De Ferreira win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Vilaverdense 27%, draw 30%, Paços De Ferreira 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paços De Ferreira), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.