Stranraer 1-2 Forfar Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 4 Mar 2025

📅04/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
31%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.52
2-3 Goals
46%
1.71
4-5 Goals
16%
4.16
6+ Goals
7%
21.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.5pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.9pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-2.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.9pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stranraer EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Forfar Athletic EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.32/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/0.95
-3% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +47%
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
335 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
5.0 Crosses 6.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stranraer
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Forfar Athletic
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
3 Crosses 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.01.2025 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 0-1 HT 0-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
21.09.2024 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 2-1 HT 1-1 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
27.04.2024 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 2-0 HT 2-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
02.03.2024 Stranraer Stranraer 0-0 HT 0-0 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
02.12.2023 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 1-1 HT 1-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
23.09.2023 Stranraer Stranraer 0-2 HT 0-2 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
POST-MATCH Stranraer vs Forfar Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forfar Athletic nicked a narrow win over Stranraer 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 31% / 32%) promised a tight game; Forfar Athletic found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forfar Athletic led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Stranraer and 1.17 for Forfar Athletic.

What was the final score of Stranraer vs Forfar Athletic?

Stranraer 1-2 Forfar Athletic in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 04/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stranraer vs Forfar Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stranraer win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Stranraer 38%, draw 31%, Forfar Athletic 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Stranraer) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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