Niroye Zamini 0-1 Ario Eslamshahr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 4 Mar 2025

📅04/03/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.94
Draw
35%
2.66
Away
30%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.22
Over 2.5
32%
4.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.95
No
64%
1.35
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
1.48
2-3 Goals
35%
2.02
4-5 Goals
14%
10.95
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
26%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
31%
+4.4pp
35%
Draw
34%
+0.6pp
30%
Away Win
35%
-5.1pp
68%
Under 2.5
78%
-10.2pp
32%
Over 2.5
22%
+10.1pp
36%
BTTS Yes
30%
+5.6pp
64%
BTTS No
70%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Niroye Zamini EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Ario Eslamshahr EU Bookmakers 38%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.29/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/0.56
-69% / +102% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +52%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
277 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Niroye Zamini
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ario Eslamshahr
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
16.10.2024 Ario Eslamshahr Ario Eslamshahr 1-0 HT 1-0 Niroye Zamini Niroye Zamini IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Niroye Zamini vs Ario Eslamshahr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ario Eslamshahr squeezed past Niroye Zamini 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 35% / 30% — and on the day Ario Eslamshahr made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

What was the final score of Niroye Zamini vs Ario Eslamshahr?

Niroye Zamini 0-1 Ario Eslamshahr in the Iran - Azadegan League on 04/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Niroye Zamini vs Ario Eslamshahr?

Before kick-off our model rated a Niroye Zamini win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Niroye Zamini 35%, draw 35%, Ario Eslamshahr 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/35/30) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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