Ario Eslamshahr 1-0 Niroye Zamini — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 16 Oct 2024

📅16/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Over 2.5
35%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.4
No
63%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
48%
2.08
2-3 Goals
32%
1.83
4-5 Goals
14%
6.14
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.08 — our 48% vs market 40.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
50%
+0.8pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.4pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.7pp
65%
Under 2.5
65%
-0.2pp
35%
Over 2.5
35%
+0.2pp
37%
BTTS Yes
38%
-0.4pp
63%
BTTS No
62%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ario Eslamshahr EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Niroye Zamini EU Bookmakers 25%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.50/0.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.50
+12% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +138%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
317 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Ario Eslamshahr vs Niroye Zamini
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ario Eslamshahr squeezed past Niroye Zamini 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ario Eslamshahr as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Ario Eslamshahr vs Niroye Zamini?

Ario Eslamshahr 1-0 Niroye Zamini in the Iran - Azadegan League on 16/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ario Eslamshahr vs Niroye Zamini?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ario Eslamshahr win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Ario Eslamshahr 51%, draw 24%, Niroye Zamini 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ario Eslamshahr), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ario Eslamshahr) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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