Naft Gachsaran 1-1 SC Damash Gilanian — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 16 Oct 2024

📅16/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
39%
2.94
Away
22%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
80%
1.45
Over 2.5
20%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
23%
2.19
No
77%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
57%
2.11
2-3 Goals
28%
1.82
4-5 Goals
10%
6.04
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.11 — our 57% vs market 40.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
28%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Draw ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-4.8pp
39%
Draw
31%
+8.2pp
22%
Away Win
26%
-3.4pp
80%
Under 2.5
65%
+14.3pp
20%
Over 2.5
35%
-14.3pp
23%
BTTS Yes
42%
-18.3pp
77%
BTTS No
58%
+18.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naft Gachsaran EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY SC Damash Gilanian EU Bookmakers 29%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.85/0.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.30
-31% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naft Gachsaran
1W-1D-0L
AWAY SC Damash Gilanian
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
30.05.2024 SC Damash Gilanian SC Damash Gilanian 1-1 HT 1-0 Naft Gachsaran IRANAZ
05.12.2023 Naft Gachsaran 3-0 SC Damash Gilanian SC Damash Gilanian IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Naft Gachsaran vs SC Damash Gilanian
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naft Gachsaran and SC Damash Gilanian shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 39% / 22%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (80%) landed while no to both teams scoring (77%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Naft Gachsaran had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Naft Gachsaran and 0.50 for SC Damash Gilanian.

What was the final score of Naft Gachsaran vs SC Damash Gilanian?

Naft Gachsaran 1-1 SC Damash Gilanian in the Iran - Azadegan League on 16/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naft Gachsaran vs SC Damash Gilanian?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naft Gachsaran win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Naft Gachsaran 39%, draw 39%, SC Damash Gilanian 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (39/39/22) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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