Saipa 2-0 Naft Masjed Soleyman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 16 Oct 2024

📅16/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.82
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.51
Over 2.5
47%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.27
No
52%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.22
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
5.57
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
51%
-1.4pp
22%
Draw
27%
-5.3pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
62%
-9.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
38%
+9.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.6pp
52%
BTTS No
60%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saipa EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Naft Masjed Soleyman EU Bookmakers 25%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.23/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/0.89
-10% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / +35%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
291 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saipa
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Naft Masjed Soleyman
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
30.05.2024 Naft Masjed Soleyman Naft Masjed Soleyman 0-0 HT 0-0 Saipa Saipa IRANAZ
05.12.2023 Saipa Saipa 0-1 HT 0-1 Naft Masjed Soleyman Naft Masjed Soleyman IRANAZ
06.03.2021 Saipa Saipa 0-0 HT 0-0 Naft Masjed Soleyman Naft Masjed Soleyman IRAN
19.11.2020 Naft Masjed Soleyman Naft Masjed Soleyman 1-1 HT 1-0 Saipa Saipa IRAN
POST-MATCH Saipa vs Naft Masjed Soleyman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saipa got the better of Naft Masjed Soleyman 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Saipa as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Naft Masjed Soleyman led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Saipa and 0.50 for Naft Masjed Soleyman.

What was the final score of Saipa vs Naft Masjed Soleyman?

Saipa 2-0 Naft Masjed Soleyman in the Iran - Azadegan League on 16/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saipa vs Naft Masjed Soleyman?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saipa win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Saipa 50%, draw 22%, Naft Masjed Soleyman 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saipa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Saipa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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