Sanat Naft 2-2 Mes Soongoun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 16 Oct 2024

📅16/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.59
Over 2.5
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.48
2-3 Goals
48%
1.78
4-5 Goals
13%
4.8
6+ Goals
7%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.2pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.7pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.9pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanat Naft EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Mes Soongoun EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -28%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
387 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Sanat Naft vs Mes Soongoun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanat Naft and Mes Soongoun shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Sanat Naft at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Sanat Naft vs Mes Soongoun?

Sanat Naft 2-2 Mes Soongoun in the Iran - Azadegan League on 16/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanat Naft vs Mes Soongoun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sanat Naft win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sanat Naft 46%, draw 31%, Mes Soongoun 24%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sanat Naft) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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