Paykan Qazvin 0-1 Besat Kermanshah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 16 Oct 2024

📅16/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
1.95
No
66%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.6
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
13%
4.53
6+ Goals
7%
24.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.6 — our 35% vs market 32.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.7pp
34%
BTTS Yes
47%
-13.1pp
66%
BTTS No
53%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paykan Qazvin EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Besat Kermanshah EU Bookmakers 31%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-19% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Paykan Qazvin vs Besat Kermanshah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Besat Kermanshah squeezed past Paykan Qazvin 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Besat Kermanshah made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (66%) came in.

What was the final score of Paykan Qazvin vs Besat Kermanshah?

Paykan Qazvin 0-1 Besat Kermanshah in the Iran - Azadegan League on 16/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paykan Qazvin vs Besat Kermanshah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paykan Qazvin win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Paykan Qazvin 40%, draw 28%, Besat Kermanshah 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Paykan Qazvin) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paykan Qazvin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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