Sakandary 0-1 Smouha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 4 Mar 2025

📅04/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.17
Draw
29%
2.83
Away
44%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.41
Over 2.5
39%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.27
No
59%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
1.9
2-3 Goals
36%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
6.25
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
28%
-1.4pp
29%
Draw
32%
-2.8pp
44%
Away Win
40%
+4.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
67%
-6.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
33%
+6.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.3pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sakandary EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Smouha EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -12%
0.88/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.03
-10% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
264 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
17.2 Crosses 16.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sakandary
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Smouha
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.23 xG 1.29
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
302 Passes 189
72% Pass Accuracy 64%
20 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.05.2024 Sakandary Sakandary 0-2 HT 0-1 Smouha Smouha MSR
03.11.2023 Smouha Smouha 0-1 HT 0-0 Sakandary Sakandary MSR
14.04.2023 Sakandary Sakandary 3-1 HT 1-0 Smouha Smouha MSR
19.12.2022 Smouha Smouha 0-2 HT 0-0 Sakandary Sakandary MSR
11.05.2022 Sakandary Sakandary 2-5 HT 0-2 Smouha Smouha MSR
01.05.2021 Smouha Smouha 2-2 HT 0-1 Sakandary Sakandary MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sakandary
0-1
AWAY Smouha
0.36 xG 0.95
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
325 Passes 190
77% Pass Accuracy 66%
17 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sakandary vs Smouha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Smouha edged past Sakandary 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Smouha as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sakandary had 60% of the ball to Smouha's 40%, shots finished 10-4, expected goals 0.36 to 0.95.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sakandary had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sakandary and 1.67 for Smouha.

What was the final score of Sakandary vs Smouha?

Sakandary 0-1 Smouha in the Egypt - Premier League on 04/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sakandary vs Smouha?

Before kick-off our model rated an Smouha win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sakandary 27%, draw 29%, Smouha 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Smouha), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Smouha) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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