Masr 2-2 Ismaily — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 4 Mar 2025

Masr
2-2 HT 1-2
Ismaily
📅04/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.66
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
29%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.71
Over 2.5
34%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.03
No
63%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
43%
2.66
2-3 Goals
34%
1.71
4-5 Goals
15%
3.93
6+ Goals
8%
18.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.66 — our 43% vs market 30.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
56%
-16.0pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.4pp
29%
Away Win
18%
+10.7pp
66%
Under 2.5
55%
+11.0pp
34%
Over 2.5
45%
-11.0pp
37%
BTTS Yes
45%
-7.8pp
63%
BTTS No
55%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Masr EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Ismaily EU Bookmakers 21%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -7%
1.06/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.02
+59% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +16%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
383 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 77%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
23.7 Crosses 12.8
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Masr
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Ismaily
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
0.99 xG 0.98
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
272 Passes 344
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.08.2024 Ismaily Ismaily 0-1 HT 0-1 Masr MSRK
18.04.2024 Ismaily Ismaily 1-2 HT 0-2 Masr MSR
19.09.2023 Masr 1-0 HT 1-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
07.09.2020 Ismaily Ismaily 4-0 HT 1-0 Masr MSR
15.12.2019 Masr 0-1 HT 0-1 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Masr
2-2
AWAY Ismaily
0.68 xG 0.70
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
327 Passes 202
73% Pass Accuracy 63%
16 Box Touches 7
26 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Masr vs Ismaily
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Masr and Ismaily shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 31% / 29% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Masr had 59% of the ball to Ismaily's 41%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 0.68 to 0.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Masr had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Masr and 1.20 for Ismaily.

What was the final score of Masr vs Ismaily?

Masr 2-2 Ismaily in the Egypt - Premier League on 04/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Masr vs Ismaily?

Before kick-off our model rated a Masr win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Masr 40%, draw 31%, Ismaily 29%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Masr) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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