Ismaily 0-1 Masr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Cup, 27 Aug 2024

Ismaily
0-1 HT 0-1
Masr
📅27/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
26%
2.7
Away
43%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.45
Over 2.5
36%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.15
2-3 Goals
36%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
5.84
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
24%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.8pp
26%
Draw
34%
-7.4pp
43%
Away Win
36%
+6.6pp
64%
Under 2.5
65%
-1.7pp
36%
Over 2.5
35%
+1.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.1pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ismaily EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Masr EU Bookmakers 40%
+54% / +54% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +52% / +52%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
+43% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% /
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
246 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
Crosses 23.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ismaily
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Masr
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.23 xG 0.87
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
348 Passes 281
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.04.2024 Ismaily Ismaily 1-2 HT 0-2 Masr MSR
19.09.2023 Masr 1-0 HT 1-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
07.09.2020 Ismaily Ismaily 4-0 HT 1-0 Masr MSR
15.12.2019 Masr 0-1 HT 0-1 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ismaily
0-1
AWAY Masr
0.20 xG 1.36
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
331 Passes 244
75% Pass Accuracy 70%
10 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Ismaily vs Masr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Masr squeezed past Ismaily 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Masr as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ismaily had 55% of the ball to Masr's 45%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 0.20 to 1.36.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ismaily and 0.75 for Masr.

What was the final score of Ismaily vs Masr?

Ismaily 0-1 Masr in the Egypt - Cup on 27/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ismaily vs Masr?

Before kick-off our model rated an Masr win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ismaily 31%, draw 26%, Masr 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Masr), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Masr) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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