Amed SK 1-1 Gençlerbirliği — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 4 Mar 2025

📅04/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
63%
1.59
Over
37%
2.16
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.0
No
62%
1.72
Total Goals
0-1
38%
2.46
2-3
37%
1.8
4-5
16%
4.96
6+
9%
28.5
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.46 — our 38% vs market 34.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.24
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.05
X/1
18%
4.71
X/2
10%
6.38
X/X
17%
3.9
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
15%
5.15
2/X
9%
14.65
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Amed SK The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Gençlerbirliği The Market 32%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
1.24 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.10
1.01 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.22
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Average
Strong Defensevs comparable teams Average
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
21.4 Crosses 16.7
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amed SK
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Gençlerbirliği
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
230 Passes 426
71% Pass Accuracy 82%
19.10.2024 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 1-1 Amed SK Amed SK T1L
08.01.2017 Amed SK Amed SK 0-5 HT 0-0 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği TÜK
29.12.2016 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 6-0 HT 3-0 Amed SK Amed SK TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amed SK
1-1
AWAY Gençlerbirliği
1.55 xG 1.37
64% Ball Possession 36%
24 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 1
318 Passes 138
78% Pass Accuracy 56%
35 Box Touches 15
44 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Amed SK vs Gençlerbirliği
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Amed SK and Gençlerbirliği traded blows to a 1-1 standstill. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

Under the surface, possession split 64% to 36% in Amed SK's favour, shots finished 24-10, expected goals 1.55 to 1.37.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Gençlerbirliği led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.33 a game for Amed SK against 4.00 for Gençlerbirliği.

Amed SK vs Gençlerbirliği Result & Final Score

Amed SK 1-1 Gençlerbirliği in the Turkey - 1st Division on 04/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Amed SK vs Gençlerbirliği Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Amed SK win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Amed SK 40%, draw 30%, Gençlerbirliği 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Amed SK), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Amed SK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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