Manisa FK 0-1 Iğdır FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 4 Mar 2025

📅04/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
52%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.8
Over
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No Pick
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
31%
3.16
2-3
35%
1.8
4-5
25%
3.78
6+
9%
15.95
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.16 — our 31% vs market 26.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.71
1/2
8%
24.7
1/X
5%
14.55
X/1
7%
7.4
X/2
13%
4.53
X/X
13%
4.67
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
31%
2.69
2/X
7%
13.6
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Manisa FK The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Iğdır FK The Market 51%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better
Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better
Average Attackvs comparable teams
Weak Defensevs comparable teams
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
238 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.2 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manisa FK
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Iğdır FK
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.72 xG 0.68
32% Ball Possession 68%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
182 Passes 486
70% Pass Accuracy 85%
25 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.10.2024 Iğdır FK Iğdır FK 1-0 HT 1-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manisa FK
0-1
AWAY Iğdır FK
1.17 xG 0.88
32% Ball Possession 68%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 12
195 Passes 505
69% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 35
10 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Manisa FK vs Iğdır FK
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Iğdır FK shaded a tight game against Manisa FK 1-0 away from home. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Iğdır FK as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 52% for over 2.5, 46% on both teams scoring. At 1.82 (~55%), the BTTS-yes price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.

On the day, Manisa FK had 32% of the ball to Iğdır FK's 68%, shots finished 7-15, expected goals 1.17 to 0.88.

Manisa FK vs Iğdır FK Result & Final Score

Manisa FK 0-1 Iğdır FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 04/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Manisa FK vs Iğdır FK Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Iğdır FK win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Manisa FK 24%, draw 24%, Iğdır FK 52%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Iğdır FK), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Iğdır FK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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