Iğdır FK 1-0 Manisa FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 20 Oct 2024

Iğdır FK
1-0 HT 1-0
Manisa FK
📅20/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Iğdır FK vs Manisa FK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.02
Draw
35%
3.54
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.31
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.57
6+ Goals
8%
14.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 28% vs market 24.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.91
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
9%
14.4
X/1
11%
4.5
X/2
11%
6.41
X/X
17%
4.99
2/1
10%
24.85
2/2
12%
4.72
2/X
8%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
46%
-9.3pp
34%
Draw
25%
+9.5pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.0pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Iğdır FK v Manisa FK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Iğdır FK EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Manisa FK EU Bookmakers 33%
-65% / -65% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -13%
1.17/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.30
-30% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
294 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 72%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
19.0 Crosses 18.7
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.9

Iğdır FK 1-0 Manisa FK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Iğdır FK
1-0
AWAY Manisa FK
0.68 xG 0.72
68% Ball Possession 32%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
486 Passes 182
85% Pass Accuracy 70%
13 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Iğdır FK vs Manisa FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Iğdır FK squeezed past Manisa FK 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 34% / 29% — and on the day Iğdır FK made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Iğdır FK had 68% of the ball to Manisa FK's 32%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 0.68 to 0.72.

What was the final score of Iğdır FK vs Manisa FK?

Iğdır FK 1-0 Manisa FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Iğdır FK vs Manisa FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Iğdır FK win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Iğdır FK 36%, draw 34%, Manisa FK 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Iğdır FK), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Iğdır FK) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
T1L More Turkey - 1st Division
20 Oct 2024
13:30 Pendikspor vs Erzurumspor FK Analysis →
16:00 Boluspor vs Çorum FK Analysis →
19:00 Sakaryaspor vs İstanbulspor Analysis →