Boluspor 2-0 Çorum FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.64
Over 2.5
38%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.6
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.53
6+ Goals
7%
24.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.6 — our 32% vs market 32.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.4
1/2
5%
31.5
1/X
8%
13.65
X/1
6%
5.83
X/2
12%
5.02
X/X
13%
3.92
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
22%
3.56
2/X
9%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
33%
-2.5pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.0pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+1.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
57%
+5.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
43%
-5.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.7pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boluspor EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Çorum FK EU Bookmakers 42%
-1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.16/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.62
-13% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
273 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
18.5 Crosses 13.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boluspor
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Çorum FK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.70 xG 1.58
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
398 Passes 284
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.05.2024 Boluspor Boluspor 2-1 HT 0-0 Çorum FK Çorum FK T1L
25.12.2023 Çorum FK Çorum FK 2-0 HT 0-0 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boluspor
2-0
AWAY Çorum FK
2.14 xG 1.28
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
412 Passes 323
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 16
11 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Boluspor vs Çorum FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boluspor saw off Çorum FK 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (31% / 30% / 39%) promised a tight game; Boluspor found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Boluspor had 55% of the ball to Çorum FK's 45%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 2.14 to 1.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Boluspor and 1.50 for Çorum FK.

What was the final score of Boluspor vs Çorum FK?

Boluspor 2-0 Çorum FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boluspor vs Çorum FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Çorum FK win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Boluspor 31%, draw 30%, Çorum FK 39%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Çorum FK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Çorum FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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