Boluspor 2-1 Çorum FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
40%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.9
Over 2.5
38%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.68
No
61%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
3.4
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
15%
3.49
6+ Goals
7%
13.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 36% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.56
1/2
7%
29.5
1/X
6%
12.65
X/1
13%
5.45
X/2
15%
5.81
X/X
14%
4.55
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
18%
3.89
2/X
7%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
38%
-5.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
40%
Away Win
35%
+5.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
49%
+13.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
51%
-13.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
56%
-16.0pp
61%
BTTS No
44%
+16.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boluspor EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Çorum FK EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.21/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/0.91
-18% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
375 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
20.1 Crosses 19.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boluspor
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Çorum FK
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.53 xG 0.95
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
364 Passes 309
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 8
15 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 0
25.12.2023 Çorum FK Çorum FK 2-0 HT 0-0 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boluspor
2-1
AWAY Çorum FK
0.87 xG 2.20
59% Ball Possession 41%
7 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 6
431 Passes 258
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Box Touches 26
9 Crosses 28
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Boluspor vs Çorum FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boluspor nicked a narrow win over Çorum FK 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 40% — and on the day Boluspor made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Boluspor had 59% of the ball to Çorum FK's 41%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 0.87 to 2.20 — the balance of chances actually favoured Çorum FK.

What was the final score of Boluspor vs Çorum FK?

Boluspor 2-1 Çorum FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boluspor vs Çorum FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Çorum FK win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Boluspor 33%, draw 28%, Çorum FK 40%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Çorum FK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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