Göztepe 1-1 Bodrum FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 11 May 2024

Göztepe
1-1 HT 0-1
Bodrum FK
📅11/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Göztepe vs Bodrum FK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.88
No
59%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.78
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.2
6+ Goals
9%
20.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.78 — our 33% vs market 30.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.22
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.85
X/1
19%
4.69
X/2
9%
6.15
X/X
14%
4.24
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
16%
4.69
2/X
5%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-1.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+2.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.3pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Göztepe v Bodrum FK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Göztepe EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Bodrum FK EU Bookmakers 32%
-19% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
1.21/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.04
-54% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
21.9 Crosses 15.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2

Göztepe vs Bodrum FK Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Göztepe
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Bodrum FK
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.94 xG 1.04
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
334 Passes 192
76% Pass Accuracy 65%
18 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.12.2023 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK 3-0 HT 2-0 Göztepe Göztepe T1L
26.05.2023 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK 3-1 HT 2-0 Göztepe Göztepe T1L
21.05.2023 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK 1-1 HT 0-0 Göztepe Göztepe T1L
26.12.2022 Göztepe Göztepe 0-1 HT 0-1 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK T1L

Göztepe 1-1 Bodrum FK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Göztepe
1-1
AWAY Bodrum FK
1.34 xG 1.02
70% Ball Possession 30%
17 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
347 Passes 83
78% Pass Accuracy 44%
22 Box Touches 8
19 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Göztepe vs Bodrum FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Göztepe and Bodrum FK shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Göztepe at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Göztepe had 70% of the ball to Bodrum FK's 30%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 1.34 to 1.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Bodrum FK led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Göztepe and 2.00 for Bodrum FK.

What was the final score of Göztepe vs Bodrum FK?

Göztepe 1-1 Bodrum FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Göztepe vs Bodrum FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Göztepe win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Göztepe 44%, draw 26%, Bodrum FK 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Göztepe), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Göztepe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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