Şanlıurfaspor 2-0 Manisa FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.32
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
24%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.9
No
44%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.69
2-3 Goals
36%
1.82
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
31%
3.28
6+ Goals
9%
11.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.28 — our 31% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.89
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
5%
16.95
X/1
23%
3.66
X/2
6%
11.9
X/X
12%
5.77
2/1
5%
22.7
2/2
9%
9.48
2/X
6%
17.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
71%
-18.7pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.4pp
24%
Away Win
11%
+13.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
49%
+7.0pp
44%
BTTS No
51%
-7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Şanlıurfaspor EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Manisa FK EU Bookmakers 14%
-12% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.45/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.25
-55% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +130%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
522 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 72%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
28.0 Crosses 14.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Şanlıurfaspor
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Manisa FK
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.82 xG 2.46
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 23
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
203 Passes 466
71% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Box Touches 28
6 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 0
25.12.2023 Manisa FK Manisa FK 1-1 HT 1-1 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor T1L
03.12.2020 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 0-2 HT 0-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK S2-B
02.02.2020 Manisa FK Manisa FK 7-0 HT 4-0 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor S2-B
21.09.2019 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 0-3 HT 0-1 Manisa FK Manisa FK S2-B
06.03.2019 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 2-2 HT 0-2 Manisa FK Manisa FK S2-K
17.10.2018 Manisa FK Manisa FK 3-0 HT 1-0 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor S2-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Şanlıurfaspor
2-0
AWAY Manisa FK
1.20 xG 0.33
34% Ball Possession 66%
12 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
178 Passes 429
70% Pass Accuracy 84%
27 Box Touches 10
21 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Şanlıurfaspor vs Manisa FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Şanlıurfaspor beat Manisa FK 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Şanlıurfaspor as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Şanlıurfaspor had 34% of the ball to Manisa FK's 66%, shots finished 12-4, expected goals 1.20 to 0.33.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manisa FK led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Şanlıurfaspor and 3.00 for Manisa FK.

What was the final score of Şanlıurfaspor vs Manisa FK?

Şanlıurfaspor 2-0 Manisa FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Şanlıurfaspor vs Manisa FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Şanlıurfaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Şanlıurfaspor 53%, draw 23%, Manisa FK 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Şanlıurfaspor) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Şanlıurfaspor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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