Adanaspor 1-0 Bandırmaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
47%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.67
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.29
6+ Goals
10%
11.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.67 — our 29% vs market 22.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.72
1/2
12%
24.0
1/X
10%
13.85
X/1
9%
6.71
X/2
20%
4.66
X/X
8%
5.08
2/1
6%
32.5
2/2
15%
2.86
2/X
10%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
30%
-4.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.5pp
47%
Away Win
45%
+2.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.6pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adanaspor EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Bandırmaspor EU Bookmakers 49%
+7% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -2%
1.11/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.15
-1% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 79%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
15.7 Crosses 18.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adanaspor
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Bandırmaspor
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.14 xG 2.08
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
291 Passes 352
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.12.2023 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 2-3 HT 2-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
07.10.2022 Adanaspor Adanaspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
27.02.2022 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
02.10.2021 Adanaspor Adanaspor 1-5 HT 1-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
01.05.2021 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 3-2 HT 1-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
27.12.2020 Adanaspor Adanaspor 1-2 HT 1-1 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adanaspor
1-0
AWAY Bandırmaspor
1.09 xG 0.44
52% Ball Possession 48%
20 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
256 Passes 218
76% Pass Accuracy 69%
27 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Adanaspor vs Bandırmaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adanaspor edged past Bandırmaspor 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Bandırmaspor at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Adanaspor had 52% of the ball to Bandırmaspor's 48%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 1.09 to 0.44.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bandırmaspor led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Adanaspor and 2.33 for Bandırmaspor.

What was the final score of Adanaspor vs Bandırmaspor?

Adanaspor 1-0 Bandırmaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adanaspor vs Bandırmaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bandırmaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Adanaspor 25%, draw 27%, Bandırmaspor 47%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bandırmaspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bandırmaspor) ✓ Under 2.5
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