Erzurumspor FK 0-4 Eyüpspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 11 May 2024

Erzurumspor FK
0-4 HT 0-3
Eyüpspor
📅11/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Erzurumspor FK vs Eyüpspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.29
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.58
6+ Goals
9%
14.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.29 — our 30% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.09
1/2
9%
33.5
1/X
9%
13.0
X/1
14%
4.86
X/2
17%
6.47
X/X
9%
4.56
2/1
5%
26.0
2/2
17%
4.6
2/X
7%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+4.8pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.8pp
43%
Away Win
46%
-3.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.3pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Erzurumspor FK v Eyüpspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Erzurumspor FK EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Eyüpspor EU Bookmakers 49%
-6% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.02/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/0.97
-15% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -14%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
295 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 78%
15.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
19.5 Crosses 18.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1

Erzurumspor FK vs Eyüpspor Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Erzurumspor FK
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Eyüpspor
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
0.77 xG 1.33
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
199 Passes 455
67% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 23
11 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.12.2023 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor 3-0 HT 1-0 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
03.04.2023 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor 1-1 HT 0-1 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
30.10.2022 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 0-1 HT 0-0 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor T1L
17.02.2022 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 1-1 HT 0-0 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor T1L
18.09.2021 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor 0-1 HT 0-0 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L

Erzurumspor FK 0-4 Eyüpspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Erzurumspor FK
0-4
AWAY Eyüpspor
0.08 xG 4.19
27% Ball Possession 73%
3 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 3
206 Passes 680
78% Pass Accuracy 94%
12 Box Touches 18
8 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Erzurumspor FK vs Eyüpspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eyüpspor cruised past Erzurumspor FK 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Eyüpspor as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Erzurumspor FK had 27% of the ball to Eyüpspor's 73%, shots finished 3-13, expected goals 0.08 to 4.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Eyüpspor led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Erzurumspor FK and 1.20 for Eyüpspor.

What was the final score of Erzurumspor FK vs Eyüpspor?

Erzurumspor FK 0-4 Eyüpspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Erzurumspor FK vs Eyüpspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Eyüpspor win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Erzurumspor FK 32%, draw 25%, Eyüpspor 43%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eyüpspor), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Eyüpspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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