Sakaryaspor vs İstanbulspor Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sakaryaspor v İstanbulspor — Team-Based Signals
Sakaryaspor vs İstanbulspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-0
İstanbulspor
T1L
0-2
HT 0-0
Sakaryaspor
T1L
0-0
HT 0-0
İstanbulspor
TBAP
1-1
HT 1-0
Sakaryaspor
T1L
1-0
HT 0-0
İstanbulspor
T1L
1-3
HT 1-0
İstanbulspor
TSL
Sakaryaspor 3-1 İstanbulspor — Actual Match Statistics
Sakaryaspor beat İstanbulspor 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (31% / 30% / 39%) promised a tight game; Sakaryaspor found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Sakaryaspor had 49% of the ball to İstanbulspor's 51%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.70 to 0.71.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sakaryaspor and 1.00 for İstanbulspor.
What was the final score of Sakaryaspor vs İstanbulspor?
Sakaryaspor 3-1 İstanbulspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sakaryaspor vs İstanbulspor?
Before kick-off our model rated an İstanbulspor win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sakaryaspor 31%, draw 30%, İstanbulspor 39%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.