Brighton & Hove Albion vs Arsenal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Brighton & Hove Albion v Arsenal — Team-Based Signals
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Arsenal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Brighton & Hove Albion 0-1 Arsenal — Actual Match Statistics
Arsenal came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Brighton & Hove Albion 1-0 away from home.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arsenal as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 50% and both teams to score at 51%.
By the numbers, possession split 60% to 40% in Brighton & Hove Albion's favour, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 0.82 to 0.47.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arsenal led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for Brighton & Hove Albion against 1.83 for Arsenal.
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Arsenal Result & Final Score
Brighton & Hove Albion 0 - 1 Arsenal in the England - Premier League on 04/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Arsenal Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Arsenal win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Brighton & Hove Albion 19%, draw 24%, Arsenal 57%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.