Fiorentina U20 2-1 Bologna U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 4 Mar 2026

📅04/03/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
21%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-1.8pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.7pp
21%
Away Win
23%
-1.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fiorentina U20 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Bologna U20 EU Bookmakers 26%
+1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
2.24/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/0.98
+26% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +64%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
346 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fiorentina U20
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Bologna U20
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.10.2025 Bologna U20 Bologna U20 0-2 HT 0-1 Fiorentina U20 Fiorentina U20 İTAPŞ1
27.01.2025 Bologna U20 Bologna U20 1-3 HT 1-1 Fiorentina U20 Fiorentina U20 İTAPŞ1
01.12.2024 Fiorentina U20 Fiorentina U20 3-1 HT 2-0 Bologna U20 Bologna U20 İTAPŞ1
POST-MATCH Fiorentina U20 vs Bologna U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina U20 nicked a narrow win over Bologna U20 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fiorentina U20 as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Fiorentina U20 had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Fiorentina U20 and 0.67 for Bologna U20.

What was the final score of Fiorentina U20 vs Bologna U20?

Fiorentina U20 2-1 Bologna U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 04/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fiorentina U20 vs Bologna U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina U20 51%, draw 28%, Bologna U20 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fiorentina U20) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fiorentina U20) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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