Livorno 1-2 Perugia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 4 Mar 2026

Livorno
1 - 2 HT 0 - 0
Perugia
📅04/03/2026 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2025/2026

Livorno vs Perugia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.48
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.71
Over
44%
2.04
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.87
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.52
2-3
46%
1.7
4-5
19%
4.12
6+
4%
20.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
19%
2/1
2%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Livorno v Perugia — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Livorno The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Perugia The Market 39%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
1.14 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.22
1.36 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.18
Strong Attack Strength Weak
Average Defense Strength Weak
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
381 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2 Yellow Cards 2

Livorno vs Perugia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Livorno
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Perugia
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.18 xG 1.47
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
287 Passes 339
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
27.10.2025 Perugia Perugia 2-0 HT 0-0 Livorno Livorno İTC
27.01.2020 Perugia Perugia 1-0 HT 1-0 Livorno Livorno İTB
31.08.2019 Livorno Livorno 0-1 HT 0-0 Perugia Perugia İTB
30.03.2019 Perugia Perugia 3-1 HT 1-0 Livorno Livorno İTB
04.11.2018 Livorno Livorno 2-3 HT 2-1 Perugia Perugia İTB
07.05.2016 Livorno Livorno 1-1 HT 1-0 Perugia Perugia İTB

Livorno 1-2 Perugia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Livorno
1 - 2
AWAY Perugia
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Livorno vs Perugia
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Perugia came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Livorno 2-1 away from home. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

The model refused to pick a side here (34% / 29% / 37%); Perugia picked one for it. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

By the numbers, possession split 53% to 47% in Livorno's favour, shots finished 11-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Perugia led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Livorno against 1.83 for Perugia.

Livorno vs Perugia Result & Final Score

Livorno 1 - 2 Perugia in the Italy - Serie C on 04/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Livorno vs Perugia Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Perugia win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Livorno 34%, draw 29%, Perugia 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Perugia) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Perugia) ✗ Under 2.5
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