Trefelin 3-1 Cardiff Draconians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 4 Mar 2026

Trefelin
3-1 HT 2-1
Cardiff Draconians
📅04/03/2026 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2025/2026

Trefelin vs Cardiff Draconians Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.3
Draw
20%
4.95
Away
10%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
26%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
72%
-2.5pp
21%
Draw
17%
+3.7pp
10%
Away Win
11%
-1.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.0pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Trefelin v Cardiff Draconians — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trefelin EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Cardiff Draconians EU Bookmakers 14%
-10% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
2.32/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/2.72
-14% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +68% / -2%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
438 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
4.0 Yellow Cards –

Trefelin vs Cardiff Draconians Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trefelin
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Cardiff Draconians
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
The Meetings
29.11.2025 Cardiff Draconians 3-3 HT 2-3 Trefelin Trefelin GALWK
POST-MATCH Trefelin vs Cardiff Draconians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trefelin saw off Cardiff Draconians 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Trefelin as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Trefelin vs Cardiff Draconians?

Trefelin 3-1 Cardiff Draconians in the Wales - FAW Championship on 04/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trefelin vs Cardiff Draconians?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trefelin win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Trefelin 70%, draw 21%, Cardiff Draconians 10%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trefelin), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Trefelin) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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