Lausanne Sports 3-3 St. Gallen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 4 Apr 2024

📅04/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.18
Over 2.5
49%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.53
No
50%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.37
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
21%
2.95
6+ Goals
13%
8.83
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.37 — our 28% vs market 18.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.4
1/2
7%
26.5
1/X
8%
12.2
X/1
16%
5.66
X/2
12%
6.03
X/X
11%
5.14
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
12%
3.71
2/X
8%
12.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
39%
+3.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
32%
Away Win
35%
-3.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
42%
+9.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
58%
-9.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
61%
-11.3pp
50%
BTTS No
39%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lausanne Sports EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Gallen EU Bookmakers 39%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -13%
1.46/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.47
+8% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
301 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 77%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.3
15.0 Crosses 18.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lausanne Sports
1W-0D-5L
AWAY St. Gallen
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.07 xG 2.42
45% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
278 Passes 336
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 3
20.01.2024 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 0-1 HT 0-1 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
02.09.2023 St. Gallen St. Gallen 2-1 HT 0-0 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
22.05.2022 St. Gallen St. Gallen 4-0 HT 1-0 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
30.01.2022 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 1-5 HT 1-2 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
21.11.2021 St. Gallen St. Gallen 0-1 HT 0-1 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
24.07.2021 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 1-2 HT 0-1 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lausanne Sports
3-3
AWAY St. Gallen
1.81 xG 0.94
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 6
322 Passes 213
76% Pass Accuracy 66%
33 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lausanne Sports vs St. Gallen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lausanne Sports and St. Gallen couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Lausanne Sports at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Lausanne Sports had 57% of the ball to St. Gallen's 43%, shots finished 17-16, expected goals 1.81 to 0.94.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Gallen led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Lausanne Sports and 2.33 for St. Gallen.

What was the final score of Lausanne Sports vs St. Gallen?

Lausanne Sports 3-3 St. Gallen in the Switzerland - Super League on 04/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lausanne Sports vs St. Gallen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lausanne Sports win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Lausanne Sports 42%, draw 26%, St. Gallen 32%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lausanne Sports) ✗ Under 2.5
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