Cherno More Varna 3-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 4 Apr 2024

📅04/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.29
Draw
27%
4.81
Away
20%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.4
No
55%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
73%
-20.2pp
27%
Draw
18%
+9.5pp
19%
Away Win
9%
+10.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
38%
+8.0pp
55%
BTTS No
62%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cherno More Varna EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 EU Bookmakers 11%
+13% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.07/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.27/2.86
-2% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / -31%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
413 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cherno More Varna
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
67% Ball Possession 33%
7 Total Shots 4
0 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
01.10.2023 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 0-0 HT 0-0 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cherno More Varna
3-0
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cherno More Varna swept aside Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cherno More Varna as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Cherno More Varna had 64% of the ball to Lokomotiv Sofia 1929's 36%, shots finished 19-7.

What was the final score of Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?

Cherno More Varna 3-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 04/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cherno More Varna win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Cherno More Varna 53%, draw 27%, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cherno More Varna), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cherno More Varna) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BUL1 More Bulgaria - 1st Division
4 Apr 2024
14:30 CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Botev Vratsa Analysis →
17:00 PFC Beroe vs Botev Plovdiv Analysis →