PFC Beroe 0-3 Botev Plovdiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 4 Apr 2024

📅04/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.5
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
48%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
20%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
25%
+1.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.7pp
49%
Away Win
47%
+1.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.1pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PFC Beroe EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Botev Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 51%
+56% / +56% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -44% / -44%
2.01/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/1.10
+97% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -64% / -40%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
252 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PFC Beroe
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Botev Plovdiv
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
6 Yellow Cards 3
30.09.2023 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 4-1 HT 1-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PFC Beroe
0-3
AWAY Botev Plovdiv
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH PFC Beroe vs Botev Plovdiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botev Plovdiv cruised past PFC Beroe 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Botev Plovdiv as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, PFC Beroe had 53% of the ball to Botev Plovdiv's 47%, shots finished 13-6.

What was the final score of PFC Beroe vs Botev Plovdiv?

PFC Beroe 0-3 Botev Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 04/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PFC Beroe vs Botev Plovdiv?

Before kick-off our model rated an Botev Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split PFC Beroe 27%, draw 25%, Botev Plovdiv 49%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botev Plovdiv), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Botev Plovdiv) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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