Ethiopia Nigd Bank 5-1 Hambericho Durame — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 4 Apr 2024

📅04/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.37
Draw
18%
4.19
Away
16%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.44
No
56%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
4%
2/1
3%
2/2
4%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
68%
-2.8pp
18%
Draw
21%
-2.6pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+5.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
37%
+7.4pp
56%
BTTS No
63%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ethiopia Nigd Bank EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Hambericho Durame EU Bookmakers 14%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.25/1.76
+30% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -79% / -15%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
363 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ethiopia Nigd Bank
5-1
AWAY Hambericho Durame
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Hambericho Durame
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopia Nigd Bank swept aside Hambericho Durame 5-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ethiopia Nigd Bank as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ethiopia Nigd Bank had 61% of the ball to Hambericho Durame's 39%, shots finished 13-6.

What was the final score of Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Hambericho Durame?

Ethiopia Nigd Bank 5-1 Hambericho Durame in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 04/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Hambericho Durame?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ethiopia Nigd Bank win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Ethiopia Nigd Bank 66%, draw 18%, Hambericho Durame 16%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ethiopia Nigd Bank) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ethiopia Nigd Bank) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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