Wolkite Ketema 1-0 Welayta Dicha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 4 Apr 2024

📅04/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.48
Over 2.5
37%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.09
No
61%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
19%
2/1
3%
2/2
29%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+1.1pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
45%
Away Win
44%
+1.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
64%
-0.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
36%
+0.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.9pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolkite Ketema EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Welayta Dicha EU Bookmakers 48%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -58%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
255 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolkite Ketema
1-0
AWAY Welayta Dicha
51% Ball Possession 49%
5 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 0
1 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wolkite Ketema vs Welayta Dicha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolkite Ketema squeezed past Welayta Dicha 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Welayta Dicha at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Wolkite Ketema had 51% of the ball to Welayta Dicha's 49%, shots finished 5-5.

What was the final score of Wolkite Ketema vs Welayta Dicha?

Wolkite Ketema 1-0 Welayta Dicha in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 04/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolkite Ketema vs Welayta Dicha?

Before kick-off our model rated an Welayta Dicha win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Wolkite Ketema 28%, draw 27%, Welayta Dicha 45%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Welayta Dicha) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Welayta Dicha) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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