Vukovar 2-2 Bijelo Brdo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 4 Apr 2024

📅04/04/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.82
Over 2.5
54%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
59%
-5.5pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.1pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+3.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
51%
-5.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
49%
+5.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.1pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vukovar EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Bijelo Brdo EU Bookmakers 21%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.82/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.41
+6% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / +6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
394 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vukovar
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Bijelo Brdo
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Vukovar Vukovar 3-2 HT 1-1 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo HIR2
27.09.2023 Vukovar Vukovar 4-1 HT 2-0 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo HIRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vukovar
2-2
AWAY Bijelo Brdo
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vukovar vs Bijelo Brdo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vukovar and Bijelo Brdo shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Vukovar at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Vukovar had 58% of the ball to Bijelo Brdo's 42%, shots finished 12-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Vukovar had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Vukovar and 1.50 for Bijelo Brdo.

What was the final score of Vukovar vs Bijelo Brdo?

Vukovar 2-2 Bijelo Brdo in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 04/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vukovar vs Bijelo Brdo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vukovar win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Vukovar 54%, draw 25%, Bijelo Brdo 21%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vukovar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vukovar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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