Vukovar 3-2 Bijelo Brdo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒14:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.45
Draw
30%
3.94
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.27
No
51%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
65%
-13.6pp
30%
Draw
22%
+7.9pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+5.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
40%
+8.5pp
52%
BTTS No
60%
-8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vukovar EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Bijelo Brdo EU Bookmakers 16%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.45/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.34
-14% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +28%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
369 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vukovar
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Bijelo Brdo
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2023 Vukovar Vukovar 4-1 HT 2-0 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo HIRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vukovar
3-2
AWAY Bijelo Brdo
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vukovar vs Bijelo Brdo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vukovar nicked a narrow win over Bijelo Brdo 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Vukovar as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vukovar had 53% of the ball to Bijelo Brdo's 47%, shots finished 11-6.

What was the final score of Vukovar vs Bijelo Brdo?

Vukovar 3-2 Bijelo Brdo in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vukovar vs Bijelo Brdo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vukovar win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Vukovar 51%, draw 30%, Bijelo Brdo 19%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vukovar) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vukovar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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