09/03/2024
·
17:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Jarun vs Solin Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
30%
Draw
26%
24%
Away Win
29%
55%
Under 2.5
52%
45%
Over 2.5
48%
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
49%
BTTS No
47%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Jarun v Solin — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Jarun
EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY
Solin
EU Bookmakers 32%
-10% /
-10%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-39% /
-39%
1.03/1.32
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.00/2.00
-32%
/
-42%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
-34%
54%
Ball Possession
46%
15
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
5
322 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
314 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
3.7
Yellow Cards
4.0
Jarun vs Solin Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Jarun
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Solin
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
46%
Ball Possession
54%
13
Total Shots
11
3
Shots on Target
5
6
Corners
3
The Meetings
14.10.2023
Solin
1-1
HT 1-0
Jarun
HIR2
1-1
HT 1-0
Jarun
HIR2
Jarun 2-0 Solin — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
Jarun
2-0
AWAY
Solin
44%
Ball Possession
56%
5
Total Shots
15
3
Shots on Target
4
1
Corners
5
1
Yellow Cards
2
POST-MATCH
Jarun vs Solin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Jarun saw off Solin 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Jarun as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Jarun had 44% of the ball to Solin's 56%, shots finished 5-15.
What was the final score of Jarun vs Solin?
Jarun 2-0 Solin in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Jarun vs Solin?
Before kick-off our model rated a Jarun win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Jarun 46%, draw 30%, Solin 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jarun), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Jarun)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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HIR2
More Croatia - 2.HNL
9 Mar 2024