Ajax 1-1 Go Ahead Eagles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 4 Apr 2024

📅04/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.61
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.77
2-3 Goals
39%
1.92
4-5 Goals
25%
2.82
6+ Goals
11%
7.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.82
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
16.3
X/1
20%
3.93
X/2
8%
12.15
X/X
11%
7.05
2/1
9%
19.45
2/2
11%
8.33
2/X
7%
16.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
58%
-5.8pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.4pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.2pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajax EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.22/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.57
+3% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +18%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
410 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 73%
35.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
22.7 Crosses 16.9
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajax
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.93 xG 0.89
71% Ball Possession 29%
21 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
610 Passes 195
87% Pass Accuracy 67%
57 Box Touches 13
34 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
14.01.2024 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 2-3 HT 1-2 Ajax Ajax HOL
02.04.2023 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 0-0 HT 0-0 Ajax Ajax HOL
01.10.2022 Ajax Ajax 1-1 HT 1-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
27.02.2022 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 2-1 HT 2-0 Ajax Ajax HOL
07.11.2021 Ajax Ajax 0-0 HT 0-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
31.10.2018 Ajax Ajax 3-0 HT 2-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajax
1-1
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles
1.66 xG 1.15
63% Ball Possession 37%
21 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
655 Passes 347
90% Pass Accuracy 82%
43 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ajax vs Go Ahead Eagles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajax and Go Ahead Eagles shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Ajax at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Ajax had 63% of the ball to Go Ahead Eagles's 37%, shots finished 21-10, expected goals 1.66 to 1.15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajax had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ajax and 0.83 for Go Ahead Eagles.

What was the final score of Ajax vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Ajax 1-1 Go Ahead Eagles in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 04/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajax vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajax win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Ajax 52%, draw 24%, Go Ahead Eagles 24%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ajax) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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