FK Tukums 2000 2-0 Grobina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 4 Apr 2024

📅04/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.61
No
54%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
-7.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.1pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Tukums 2000 EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Grobina EU Bookmakers 33%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -39% / -39%
1.68/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.42/1.09
-45% / +146% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
329 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
16.2 Crosses 15.0
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Tukums 2000
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Grobina
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
09.10.2021 Grobina Grobina 0-3 HT 0-1 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Tukums 2000
2-0
AWAY Grobina
1.07 xG 0.51
41% Ball Possession 59%
15 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
248 Passes 404
67% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FK Tukums 2000 vs Grobina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Tukums 2000 got the better of Grobina 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; FK Tukums 2000 found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, FK Tukums 2000 had 41% of the ball to Grobina's 59%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.07 to 0.51.

What was the final score of FK Tukums 2000 vs Grobina?

FK Tukums 2000 2-0 Grobina in the Latvia - Virsliga on 04/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Tukums 2000 vs Grobina?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Tukums 2000 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FK Tukums 2000 38%, draw 28%, Grobina 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Tukums 2000), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FK Tukums 2000) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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