Riga FC 4-0 Liepaja — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 4 Apr 2024

📅04/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.3
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
22%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.19
No
53%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
72%
-15.4pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.3pp
21%
Away Win
10%
+11.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.5pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Riga FC EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Liepaja EU Bookmakers 14%
+1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
2.74/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/2.49
+13% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +16%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
482 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 71%
48.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.9
28.6 Crosses 12.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Riga FC
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Liepaja
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.79 xG 0.55
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
461 Passes 216
85% Pass Accuracy 72%
42 Box Touches 11
25 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.09.2023 Riga FC Riga FC 3-1 HT 2-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
20.09.2023 Riga FC Riga FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Liepaja Liepaja LETK
04.07.2023 Riga FC Riga FC 3-1 HT 1-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
12.05.2023 Liepaja Liepaja 0-4 HT 0-2 Riga FC Riga FC LET
01.04.2023 Liepaja Liepaja 0-3 HT 0-3 Riga FC Riga FC LET
16.09.2022 Riga FC Riga FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Riga FC
4-0
AWAY Liepaja
3.55 xG 0.45
69% Ball Possession 31%
21 Total Shots 9
11 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 1
629 Passes 244
89% Pass Accuracy 77%
49 Box Touches 15
31 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Riga FC vs Liepaja
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC ran out comfortable winners over Liepaja 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Riga FC as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Riga FC had 69% of the ball to Liepaja's 31%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 3.55 to 0.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Riga FC and 0.50 for Liepaja.

What was the final score of Riga FC vs Liepaja?

Riga FC 4-0 Liepaja in the Latvia - Virsliga on 04/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Riga FC vs Liepaja?

Before kick-off our model rated a Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Riga FC 56%, draw 22%, Liepaja 21%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Riga FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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