Nakhon Pathom 1-0 Lamphun Warrior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 4 Apr 2024

📅04/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
34%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.0
Over 2.5
41%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.61
No
58%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
34%
+7.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
34%
Away Win
41%
-7.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
46%
+12.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
54%
-12.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
58%
-15.6pp
58%
BTTS No
42%
+15.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nakhon Pathom EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Lamphun Warrior EU Bookmakers 45%
+43% / +43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.00
-16% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
292 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
Crosses 20.0
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nakhon Pathom
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Lamphun Warrior
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2023 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior 2-0 HT 1-0 Nakhon Pathom Nakhon Pathom TAY
13.03.2022 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior 3-1 HT 2-0 Nakhon Pathom Nakhon Pathom TAY1
31.10.2021 Nakhon Pathom Nakhon Pathom 0-0 HT 0-0 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior TAY1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nakhon Pathom
1-0
AWAY Lamphun Warrior
1.07 xG 0.51
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
167 Passes 246
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
9 Box Touches 22
7 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nakhon Pathom vs Lamphun Warrior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nakhon Pathom nicked a narrow win over Lamphun Warrior 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nakhon Pathom as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Nakhon Pathom had 42% of the ball to Lamphun Warrior's 58%, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 1.07 to 0.51.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lamphun Warrior led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Nakhon Pathom and 1.67 for Lamphun Warrior.

What was the final score of Nakhon Pathom vs Lamphun Warrior?

Nakhon Pathom 1-0 Lamphun Warrior in the Thailand - 1st Division on 04/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nakhon Pathom vs Lamphun Warrior?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nakhon Pathom win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Nakhon Pathom 41%, draw 25%, Lamphun Warrior 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nakhon Pathom), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nakhon Pathom) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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TAY More Thailand - 1st Division
4 Apr 2024
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