Ratchaburi 1-2 Bangkok United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 4 Apr 2024

Ratchaburi
1-2 HT 1-0
Bangkok United
📅04/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Thailand - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Ratchaburi vs Bangkok United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.29
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+0.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
47%
Away Win
46%
+1.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.4pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ratchaburi v Bangkok United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ratchaburi EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Bangkok United EU Bookmakers 49%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
0.83/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/0.55
-14% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +143%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
274 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 79%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
17.1 Crosses 17.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2

Ratchaburi vs Bangkok United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ratchaburi
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Bangkok United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.34 xG 1.06
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
264 Passes 325
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.10.2023 Bangkok United Bangkok United 3-1 HT 0-1 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
17.02.2023 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 0-1 HT 0-0 Bangkok United Bangkok United TAY
19.10.2022 Bangkok United Bangkok United 0-1 HT 0-0 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
18.09.2022 Bangkok United Bangkok United 0-0 HT 0-0 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
05.02.2022 Bangkok United Bangkok United 0-0 HT 0-0 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
20.10.2021 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 1-2 HT 0-0 Bangkok United Bangkok United TAY

Ratchaburi 1-2 Bangkok United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ratchaburi
1-2
AWAY Bangkok United
0.99 xG 2.21
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
225 Passes 483
73% Pass Accuracy 88%
14 Box Touches 44
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ratchaburi vs Bangkok United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bangkok United squeezed past Ratchaburi 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bangkok United as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Ratchaburi had 36% of the ball to Bangkok United's 64%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.99 to 2.21 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Bangkok United's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bangkok United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ratchaburi and 1.00 for Bangkok United.

What was the final score of Ratchaburi vs Bangkok United?

Ratchaburi 1-2 Bangkok United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 04/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ratchaburi vs Bangkok United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bangkok United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ratchaburi 28%, draw 26%, Bangkok United 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bangkok United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bangkok United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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