Busoga United 1-1 SC Villa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 4 Apr 2024

Busoga United
1-1 HT 0-1
SC Villa
📅04/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Uganda - Premier League – 2023/2024

Busoga United vs SC Villa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
5.34
Draw
35%
3.64
Away
50%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.19
No
48%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
16%
-1.2pp
35%
Draw
25%
+10.5pp
50%
Away Win
59%
-9.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
42%
+10.4pp
48%
BTTS No
58%
-10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Busoga United v SC Villa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Busoga United EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY SC Villa EU Bookmakers 62%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+14% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
224 · 63% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 86%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.0 Yellow Cards –

Busoga United vs SC Villa Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Busoga United
1W-0D-0L
AWAY SC Villa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
The Meetings
03.03.2022 SC Villa SC Villa 0-1 HT 0-0 Busoga United Busoga United UGA

Busoga United 1-1 SC Villa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Busoga United
1-1
AWAY SC Villa
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Busoga United vs SC Villa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Busoga United and SC Villa couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was SC Villa at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Busoga United had 41% of the ball to SC Villa's 59%, shots finished 10-10.

What was the final score of Busoga United vs SC Villa?

Busoga United 1-1 SC Villa in the Uganda - Premier League on 04/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Busoga United vs SC Villa?

Before kick-off our model rated an SC Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Busoga United 15%, draw 35%, SC Villa 50%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (SC Villa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SC Villa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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4 Apr 2024
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