NEC 1-0 Kitara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 4 Apr 2024

NEC
1-0 HT 0-0
Kitara
📅04/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
39%
3.18
Away
25%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.6
Over 2.5
31%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.95
No
61%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
24%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ Draw ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
-0.2pp
39%
Draw
28%
+11.2pp
25%
Away Win
36%
-11.0pp
69%
Under 2.5
59%
+10.5pp
31%
Over 2.5
41%
-10.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
47%
-8.3pp
61%
BTTS No
53%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NEC EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Kitara EU Bookmakers 39%
+47% / +47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+108% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NEC
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Kitara
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 4
02.12.2023 Kitara Kitara 1-0 HT 1-0 NEC NEC UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NEC
1-0
AWAY Kitara
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH NEC vs Kitara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NEC squeezed past Kitara 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 39% / 25%) promised a tight game; NEC found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, NEC had 57% of the ball to Kitara's 43%, shots finished 19-7.

What was the final score of NEC vs Kitara?

NEC 1-0 Kitara in the Uganda - Premier League on 04/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NEC vs Kitara?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split NEC 36%, draw 39%, Kitara 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
UGA More Uganda - Premier League
4 Apr 2024
16:00 Busoga United vs SC Villa Analysis →