Ermenistan (K) 1-3 Lüksemburg (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Karnten Unterliga, 4 Apr 2025

Ermenistan (K)
1-3 HT 1-2
Lüksemburg (K)
📅04/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Austria - Karnten Unterliga – 2024/2025

Ermenistan (K) vs Lüksemburg (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.18
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.7
No
55%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
24%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
3%
2/2
11%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
42%
+5.6pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.5pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.6pp
55%
BTTS No
45%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ermenistan (K) v Lüksemburg (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ermenistan (K) EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Lüksemburg (K) EU Bookmakers 34%
+46% / +46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +62% / +62%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
+20% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +68% / –
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
288 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH Ermenistan (K) vs Lüksemburg (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lüksemburg (K) beat Ermenistan (K) 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Ermenistan (K) at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Ermenistan (K) vs Lüksemburg (K)?

Ermenistan (K) 1-3 Lüksemburg (K) in the Austria - Karnten Unterliga on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ermenistan (K) vs Lüksemburg (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ermenistan (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ermenistan (K) 48%, draw 22%, Lüksemburg (K) 30%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ermenistan (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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