Kuzey Makedonya (K) 1-2 Letonya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Karnten Unterliga, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.46
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
32%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.9
Over 2.5
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
37%
+9.5pp
21%
Draw
27%
-5.5pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-4.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
49%
-2.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
51%
+2.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.8pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kuzey Makedonya (K) EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Letonya (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +52% / +52%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% /
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
305 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kuzey Makedonya (K)
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Letonya (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.07.2024 Kuzey Makedonya (K) Kuzey Makedonya (K) 1-2 HT 0-1 Letonya (K) Letonya (K) KAVŞE
05.04.2024 Letonya (K) Letonya (K) 3-4 HT 1-3 Kuzey Makedonya (K) Kuzey Makedonya (K) KAVŞE
01.09.2022 Kuzey Makedonya (K) Kuzey Makedonya (K) 3-2 HT 2-1 Letonya (K) Letonya (K) KDK
21.10.2021 Letonya (K) Letonya (K) 1-4 HT 1-2 Kuzey Makedonya (K) Kuzey Makedonya (K) KDK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kuzey Makedonya (K)
1-2
AWAY Letonya (K)
56% Ball Possession 44%
23 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kuzey Makedonya (K) vs Letonya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Letonya (K) squeezed past Kuzey Makedonya (K) 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Kuzey Makedonya (K) at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Kuzey Makedonya (K) had 56% of the ball to Letonya (K)'s 44%, shots finished 23-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Kuzey Makedonya (K) had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Kuzey Makedonya (K) and 2.00 for Letonya (K).

What was the final score of Kuzey Makedonya (K) vs Letonya (K)?

Kuzey Makedonya (K) 1-2 Letonya (K) in the Austria - Karnten Unterliga on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kuzey Makedonya (K) vs Letonya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kuzey Makedonya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Kuzey Makedonya (K) 47%, draw 21%, Letonya (K) 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kuzey Makedonya (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kuzey Makedonya (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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