Kuzey Makedonya (K) 1-2 Letonya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European Women's Championship Qualifiers, 12 Jul 2024

📅12/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.38
Over 2.5
60%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.56
No
40%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
6%
X/X
3%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
17%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
57%
-9.7pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.1pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.5pp
40%
Under 2.5
38%
+2.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
62%
-2.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.1pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kuzey Makedonya (K) EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Letonya (K) EU Bookmakers 24%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-56% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
371 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kuzey Makedonya (K)
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Letonya (K)
3.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
05.04.2024 Letonya (K) Letonya (K) 3-4 HT 1-3 Kuzey Makedonya (K) Kuzey Makedonya (K) KAVŞE
01.09.2022 Kuzey Makedonya (K) Kuzey Makedonya (K) 3-2 HT 2-1 Letonya (K) Letonya (K) KDK
21.10.2021 Letonya (K) Letonya (K) 1-4 HT 1-2 Kuzey Makedonya (K) Kuzey Makedonya (K) KDK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kuzey Makedonya (K)
1-2
AWAY Letonya (K)
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kuzey Makedonya (K) vs Letonya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Letonya (K) squeezed past Kuzey Makedonya (K) 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Kuzey Makedonya (K) at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Kuzey Makedonya (K) had 62% of the ball to Letonya (K)'s 38%, shots finished 18-14.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kuzey Makedonya (K) had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.67 goals for Kuzey Makedonya (K) and 2.00 for Letonya (K).

What was the final score of Kuzey Makedonya (K) vs Letonya (K)?

Kuzey Makedonya (K) 1-2 Letonya (K) in the European Women's Championship Qualifiers on 12/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kuzey Makedonya (K) vs Letonya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kuzey Makedonya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Kuzey Makedonya (K) 47%, draw 27%, Letonya (K) 25%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kuzey Makedonya (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kuzey Makedonya (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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