Avusturya (K) 3-1 Polonya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European Women's Championship Qualifiers, 12 Jul 2024

📅12/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
23%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
5%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
68%
-12.1pp
21%
Draw
19%
+1.8pp
23%
Away Win
13%
+10.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.5pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avusturya (K) EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Polonya (K) EU Bookmakers 16%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +81% / -41%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
390 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.0
Crosses 8.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avusturya (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Polonya (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.99 xG 0.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
22 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 0
240 Passes 247
74% Pass Accuracy 71%
34 Box Touches 14
27 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.04.2024 Polonya (K) Polonya (K) 1-3 HT 0-1 Avusturya (K) Avusturya (K) KAVŞE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avusturya (K)
3-1
AWAY Polonya (K)
1.95 xG 0.87
60% Ball Possession 40%
22 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 4
310 Passes 195
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
36 Box Touches 20
32 Crosses 10
POST-MATCH Avusturya (K) vs Polonya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avusturya (K) beat Polonya (K) 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Avusturya (K) as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Avusturya (K) had 60% of the ball to Polonya (K)'s 40%, shots finished 22-7, expected goals 1.95 to 0.87.

What was the final score of Avusturya (K) vs Polonya (K)?

Avusturya (K) 3-1 Polonya (K) in the European Women's Championship Qualifiers on 12/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avusturya (K) vs Polonya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avusturya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Avusturya (K) 56%, draw 21%, Polonya (K) 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avusturya (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Avusturya (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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