Letonya (K) 3-4 Kuzey Makedonya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European Women's Championship Qualifiers, 5 Apr 2024

📅05/04/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
38%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.9
Over 2.5
43%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.68
No
61%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-5.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+4.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
49%
+8.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
51%
-8.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
56%
-16.8pp
61%
BTTS No
44%
+16.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Letonya (K) EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Kuzey Makedonya (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Letonya (K)
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Kuzey Makedonya (K)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
01.09.2022 Kuzey Makedonya (K) Kuzey Makedonya (K) 3-2 HT 2-1 Letonya (K) Letonya (K) KDK
21.10.2021 Letonya (K) Letonya (K) 1-4 HT 1-2 Kuzey Makedonya (K) Kuzey Makedonya (K) KDK
POST-MATCH Letonya (K) vs Kuzey Makedonya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kuzey Makedonya (K) nicked a narrow win over Letonya (K) 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Kuzey Makedonya (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kuzey Makedonya (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Letonya (K) and 3.50 for Kuzey Makedonya (K).

What was the final score of Letonya (K) vs Kuzey Makedonya (K)?

Letonya (K) 3-4 Kuzey Makedonya (K) in the European Women's Championship Qualifiers on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Letonya (K) vs Kuzey Makedonya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kuzey Makedonya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Letonya (K) 35%, draw 27%, Kuzey Makedonya (K) 38%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kuzey Makedonya (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kuzey Makedonya (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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