Kazakistan (K) 0-1 Bulgaristan (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European Women's Championship Qualifiers, 5 Apr 2024

📅05/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.52
Over 2.5
34%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.03
No
65%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
47%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
19%
X/X
23%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
34%
-3.7pp
33%
Draw
30%
+2.7pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.0pp
66%
Under 2.5
62%
+4.3pp
34%
Over 2.5
38%
-4.3pp
35%
BTTS Yes
45%
-10.6pp
65%
BTTS No
55%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kazakistan (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Bulgaristan (K) EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
236 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kazakistan (K)
0-1
AWAY Bulgaristan (K)
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kazakistan (K) vs Bulgaristan (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bulgaristan (K) squeezed past Kazakistan (K) 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (30% / 33% / 37%) promised a tight game; Bulgaristan (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (65%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 8-9.

What was the final score of Kazakistan (K) vs Bulgaristan (K)?

Kazakistan (K) 0-1 Bulgaristan (K) in the European Women's Championship Qualifiers on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kazakistan (K) vs Bulgaristan (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bulgaristan (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Kazakistan (K) 30%, draw 33%, Bulgaristan (K) 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bulgaristan (K)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bulgaristan (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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