Dandenong City 0-3 Avondale Heights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒11:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.13
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
58%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.49
No
35%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
31%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
21%
+2.2pp
18%
Draw
21%
-2.2pp
58%
Away Win
58%
+0.1pp
65%
BTTS Yes
63%
+1.5pp
35%
BTTS No
37%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dandenong City EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Avondale Heights EU Bookmakers 62%
-7% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -6%
1.02/2.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.31/0.80
-19% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +11%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
256 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
9.6 Crosses 17.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dandenong City
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Avondale Heights
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.30 xG 2.56
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
168 Passes 373
64% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Crosses 33
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.05.2024 Dandenong City Dandenong City 0-1 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
10.02.2024 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 4-3 HT 2-1 Dandenong City Dandenong City AVNPL
30.07.2022 Dandenong City Dandenong City 3-1 HT 1-0 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
30.04.2022 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 0-0 HT 0-0 Dandenong City Dandenong City AVNPL
19.06.2021 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 3-0 HT 1-0 Dandenong City Dandenong City AVNPL
19.03.2021 Dandenong City Dandenong City 1-4 HT 0-1 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
POST-MATCH Dandenong City vs Avondale Heights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avondale Heights swept aside Dandenong City 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Avondale Heights as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (66%) landed while both teams to score (65%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avondale Heights led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dandenong City and 2.17 for Avondale Heights.

What was the final score of Dandenong City vs Avondale Heights?

Dandenong City 0-3 Avondale Heights in the Australia - National Premier League on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dandenong City vs Avondale Heights?

Before kick-off our model rated an Avondale Heights win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Dandenong City 23%, draw 18%, Avondale Heights 58%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avondale Heights), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Avondale Heights) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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