Al Wahda 2-2 Al Nasr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5 OUR CALL
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.37
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
2.79
6+ Goals
13%
7.76
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
49%
+0.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.2pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Wahda EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nasr EU Bookmakers 29%
-8% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -21%
1.14/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.77
+21% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -36%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
18.7 Crosses 15.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Wahda
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Al Nasr
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.45 xG 0.94
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
372 Passes 352
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.11.2024 Al Nasr Al Nasr 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAE
07.05.2024 Al Wahda Al Wahda 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
01.12.2023 Al Nasr Al Nasr 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAE
03.03.2023 Al Nasr Al Nasr 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAE
08.10.2022 Al Wahda Al Wahda 4-0 HT 0-0 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
25.05.2022 Al Wahda Al Wahda 2-2 HT 0-1 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
POST-MATCH Al Wahda vs Al Nasr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Wahda and Al Nasr shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Al Wahda at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Wahda had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Wahda and 0.50 for Al Nasr.

What was the final score of Al Wahda vs Al Nasr?

Al Wahda 2-2 Al Nasr in the UAE - League on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Wahda vs Al Nasr?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Wahda win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Al Wahda 50%, draw 25%, Al Nasr 25%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Wahda) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Wahda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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